Highlights 2018

Future Hydrologic Extremes of the Red River Basin

A map showing the extent of the Red River Basin

June 6, 2018

Hydrologic extremes of drought and flooding stress water resources and damage communities in the Red River basin, located in the South Central United States. For example, the summer of 2011 was the third driest summer in Oklahoma state history and the driest in Texas state history….

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Observed Changes in Climate and Streamflow in the Upper Rio Grande Basin

Two charts showing Runoff Ratio data

June 2018

Observed streamflow and climate data are used to test the hypothesis that climate change is already affecting Rio Grande streamflow volume derived from snowmelt runoff in ways consistent with model-based projections of 21st-Century streamflow….

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Landscape Conservation Design for Enhancing the Adaptive Capacity of Coastal Wetlands in the Face of Sea-Level Rise and Coastal Development

Two maps showing the Gulf Coast. The top map shows Opportunity for wetland migration, while the bottom map shows Urban barriers to wetland migration

April 12, 2018

Coastal wetlands provide many valuable benefits to people and wildlife, including critical habitat, improved water quality, reduced flooding impacts, and protected coastlines. However, in the 21st century, accelerated sea-level rise and coastal development are expected to greatly alter coastal landscapes across the globe….

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Future South Central US Wildfire Probability due to Climate Change

A grid of maps showing Fire Probability and change over time

February 26, 2018

Globally, changing fire regimes due to climate is one of the greatest threats to ecosystems and society. In this paper, we present projections of future fire probability for the South Central USA using downscaled climate projections and the Physical Chemistry Fire Frequency Model (PC2FM)….

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Predicting Sky Island Forest Vulnerability to Climate Change

January 2018

In the southwestern United States, desert mountain ranges are “islands” of forest in a sea of dry grasslands and desert shrubs. It is likely that this region will face a hotter climate in the future….

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A grid of maps showing the predicted values of first and second principle component loadings for daily minimum temperatures in the Davis Mountains

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